Gold Fund Timing Strategy Example
This unique gold fund timing strategy will be free to those who subscribe to Mutual Fund Investing Trading and Market Timing during our introductory period. It will then be available and priced under a separate subscription.
In the gold fund timing strategy, investors are always invested in selected gold funds or a corresponding money market fund traded from one to the other according to the strategy signal.
This is a gold fund timing strategy based on technical indicators designed specifically for gold funds. Trading rules derived from these indicators are exclusive to this website and are posted daily.
Rydex Precious Metals Fund and ProFunds Precious Metals Fund are ideal for this strategy because these mutual fund companies accommodate active traders, offer no load mutual funds, provide cost free transaction and exchange services without trading restrictions.
Gold has long been a currency hedge and the ultimate store of value during periods of economic or geo-political difficulties. It also a hedge against inflation. Handling the threat of inflation in coming years will be a key to investment success and this strategy is designed to do just that for investors.
The trade history showing Rydex and ProFunds is updated daily. The example below is for the period beginning 12/31/05 ending with the last date in the column. Each line reading from the left contains the entry and exit dates, prices, and return from each trade plus a cumulative return for the strategy year to date. Because this is a timing strategy, a "buy and hold" return in the two funds is also included to compare them against returns from the strategy. In the table, the comparison shown is from 12/31/03 to the posted date.
In case you haven't already done so, to see the full performance history of the Gold Fund Strategy, go to Other Funds Performance here or use the left navigation bar.
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How to Read the Gold Fund Strategy Table
The Colors
The tables are color coded for instant recognition.
Green
means the signal is positive; it is used when Buy is in the strategy column; it is also used when buyhold appears.
Red means the signal is negative; it is used when exit is in the "status" column.
Yellow means the signal status is "out" and it is used when Hold MMF appears in the strategy column.
The Columns
The Date: The date shown in the upper left hand part of the table is today's posting date. The date in the price column is the date of the previous trading day. Mutual funds calculate fund prices once a day at the close of each trading day. Closing prices are entered in our computations over night to determine trading signals for action to take on the current trading day.
Symbol: Symbols stand for the fund and are used in obtaining price quotes and in making transactions.
Indicators: Our Gold timing strategy uses a long term, intermediate and short term indicator in a proprietary trading signal.
Entry Price: The price you pay for a mutual fund is the price calculated by the fund at the close of the day in which you entered your buy order. Adjustments to entry prices in the table are made for any subsequent dividends or distributions made by the mutual fund. For instance, if a fund declares a .05 distribution, the entry price in the column would be adjusted by that amount.
Current Price shown in the example table is the current price calculated by the fund from the close of the last trading day. If you place a buy or sell order for the fund today, you will not receive this price but the price calculated by the fund at the end of the day
Stop Prices. There are no stops used in the gold timing strategy.
Definition of Terms:
- Buy - Rules have triggered an entry point and the fund is to be bought today
- Sell - Rules have triggered an exit point and the fund is to be sold today
- BuyHold - The fund had a previous entry point and it can still be bought
- Hold - The fund had a previous entry point but is no longer elibible for new buying.
Return. Return for this position. It is the difference between the current price and the entry price of the fund shown as a +% gain or -% loss. Subscribers who have followed the strategy and entered a position on the last buy date for a fund, will know how they stand by checking this column
Return History for recent trades in Rydex and ProFunds is shown in the "Trade History" table on this page. It contains a return record of previous trades. There is also a return for the funds on a buy hold basis. Cumulative performance from December 31, 1997 using Rydex Funds and from June 10, 2002 using ProFunds can be seen by clicking on "Other Funds Performance" on the left navigation bar.
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