ETF Index and ETF Sector Table
"I use this strategy for my ETF entry points and to set trailing stops. It gives me the discipline and structure I need to manage a diversified list of ETFs at one time"
Exchange Traded Funds "ETFs" are index and sector funds that trade like stocks. We combine our proven Mutual Fund Investing Trading and Market Timing strategy with ETF trading advantages to arrive at a longer term ETF investing and trading strategy.
This strategy can provide context for day trading, but is not a day trading strategy
For those of you just arriving at this website, this section on Index ETFs and Sector ETFs is a special section of a much larger Mutual Fund Investing Trading and Market Timing website, a one-stop resource for mutual fund investors. The home page, left side navigation bar, or the sitemap will take you to other special sections which focus on the most popular well known mutual funds, and the best mutual funds for those with brokerage accounts, direct mutual fund accounts, 401k plans and IRA accounts.
ETF trading signals and ETF models to follow are just one part of a subscription to the full Mutual Fund Investing, Trading and Market Timing strategy. Member subscribers receive daily postings of strategy trade signals and status updates on over 300 leading mutual funds and ETFs, plus updates on asset allocation models and other trading strategies.
Pro-active mutual fund investors who are not satisfied with buy hold performance are turning to ETF's as one alternative to trade the major market indexes and to invest in specialty sectors such as emerging markets, natural resources, real estate, technology, and international index ETFs without bothersome fees and trading restrictions. ETF Sector funds augment 401k plans that have limited options. ETFs are well-suited for IRA accounts.
We have written a newsletter on the origins and workings of ETFs which you can read at Newsletter. Vol.1 - Issue 2.
Because ETFs and mutual funds are mirror images of each other, our strategy rules designed specifically for mutual funds also work with ETFs. See how the following well known ETFs correlate with mutual funds that track the same index. These same mutual funds with our strategy rules applied, when compared to buy hold, make excellent performance comparisons.
| ETF Name |
Symbol |
Correlation |
Mutual Fund in Strategy |
| Nasdaq 100 Index |
QQQQ |
97.9 |
Rydex OTC Fund |
| Smallcap Value Index |
VBK |
93.7 |
Rydex Smallcap Growth |
| Large Cap Value Index |
VTV |
91.6 |
Morningstar Value Index |
| EAFE International Stock |
EFA |
93.7 |
Fidelity Overseas |
| Technology Sector |
XLK |
96.7 |
Rydex Technology Fund |
Special Note on using ETF's:
- Some ETFs have limited shares available for trading so prices on "market" buy or sell orders can fluctuate widely during the trading day.
- ETFs are traded continuously during the trading day.However, the Mutual Fund Investing Trading and Market Timing strategy is not a day trading strategy for ETFs. It is a longer term strategy that can be applied successfully to ETFs.
- Our strategy indicators and trading rules are based on price points taken at the close of the trading day. ETF prices posted in the table are ETF closing prices. We use ETF closing prices in our strategy. They are entered in our computations over night to determine trading signals for action to take on the next trading day. ETFs are treated in the strategy just like mutual funds.
- ETFs incur transaction costs every time they are traded, just like stocks. These charges are fixed rates, so do the math on the size of your position and the frequency of trading
- ETFs are relatively new. We are beginning to build a performance history of our strategy applied to selected ETFs as shown in Other Funds Performance. However, ETFs have high correlation values with comparable mutual funds that have excellent long term performance in our strategy.
ETF Index and ETF Sector Table
The ETF Index and Sector Table below is an example of the Table a subscriber sees every day.
The "Status" and "Action to Take" columns are the two most important columns in the table. There, an investor sees the status of each individual ETF in the strategy and the action, if any, the strategy calls for today. The table also gives the latest readings on indicators, prices and position returns.
The table is grouped by investment categories as they are shown in 401k plans and asset allocation models. Selections for the categories have been taken from different ETF underwriters and were chosen for their liquidity and application in our strategy.
An explanation of how to read the table follows below the example table. The ETF table is updated daily and available for viewing by 9:30am EST.
| May 20, 2005 |
Symbol |
Technical Indicators |
Prices |
Investment Strategy |
| |
|
LongTerm |
Intermed |
ShortTerm |
Entry |
5/19 |
Stops |
Status |
Action Today |
Position |
days in |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| International ETFs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
| ETF Emerging Markets Index |
EEM |
|
|
|
206.620 |
206.62 |
200.42 |
in |
buyhold |
0.00% |
2 |
| ETF MSCI EAFE |
EFA |
|
|
m+ |
|
156.46 |
. |
out |
wait |
|
|
| ETF Japan |
EWJ |
|
|
|
|
10.16 |
. |
out |
wait |
|
|
| ETF Latin America |
ILF |
|
|
|
80.160 |
85.06 |
83.26 |
in |
buyhold |
6.11% |
29 |
| ETF Europe 350 |
IEV |
|
|
m+ |
|
74.50 |
. |
out |
wait |
|
|
| ETF MSCI China |
FXI |
|
|
|
|
54.50 |
. |
out |
wait |
|
|
| Natural Resource ETFs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
| ETF Energy |
VDE |
|
|
|
|
57.10 |
. |
out |
wait |
|
|
| ETF Vanguard Materials |
VAW |
|
|
m+ |
|
55.23 |
. |
out |
wait |
|
|
| ETF Utilities Index |
XLU |
|
rs- |
|
29.250 |
29.88 |
28.37 |
in |
buyhold |
2.15% |
50 |
| ETF Gold |
GLD |
|
|
|
41.980 |
41.98 |
40.72 |
in |
buyhold |
0.00% |
2 |
| Real Estate ETFs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
| ETF Cohen Steers Realty |
ICF |
|
|
|
127.850 |
139.68 |
135.49 |
in |
buyhold |
9.25% |
38 |
| Stock Index ETFs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ETF Value Stock Index |
VTV |
|
|
|
54.650 |
54.65 |
53.01 |
in |
buyhold |
0.00% |
2 |
| ETF Growth Stock Index |
VUG |
|
|
|
49.040 |
50.38 |
47.57 |
in |
buyhold |
2.73% |
16 |
| ETF Smallcap Value Index |
VBR |
|
|
|
56.450 |
56.67 |
54.76 |
in |
buyhold |
0.39% |
3 |
| ETF Smallcap Growth Index |
VBK |
|
|
wait |
|
51.58 |
. |
out |
wait |
|
|
| ETF Nasdaq 100 |
QQQ |
|
|
|
|
37.51 |
. |
entry |
buy |
|
|
| ETF S&P 500 Index |
SPY |
|
rs+ |
|
117.460 |
119.29 |
. |
in |
buyhold |
1.56% |
16 |
| ETF Dow Jones 30 Index |
DIA |
|
rs+ |
wait |
|
105.14 |
. |
out |
wait |
|
|
| Technology ETFs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
| ETF Technology |
XLK |
|
|
|
|
20.00 |
. |
entry |
buy |
|
|
| ETF Information Technology |
VGT |
|
|
|
42.160 |
44.45 |
43.12 |
in |
buyhold |
5.43% |
16 |